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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares climb to 14-week highs on hopes U.S., China getting close to trade deal

Published 04/11/2019, 07:27
Updated 04/11/2019, 07:36
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares climb to 14-week highs on hopes U.S., China getting close to trade deal
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* MSCI Asia ex-Japan +1%, highest since July 24

* European equities expected to open higher

* U.S. and China say they have made progress in trade talks

* Japan markets closed for holiday

* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

By Andrew Galbraith

SHANGHAI, Nov 4 (Reuters) - Asian shares surged on Monday,

with a broad regional gauge hitting more than 14-week highs, as

growing optimism over U.S.-China trade talks and upbeat U.S. job

data boosted global investors' appetite for riskier assets.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS jumped 1.08%, touching its highest level since

July 24, and on track for its biggest one-day gain since Oct.

Equity markets in Europe were set to follow Asia higher,

with pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures STXEc1 up 0.53%, German

DAX futures FDXc1 0.49% higher and FTSE futures FFIc1 rising

0.41% in early trading.

In Asia, Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HSI rose 1.36%, and

Seoul's Kospi .KS11 added 1.43%. In mainland China, blue chips

.CSI300 were up 0.72%, and Australian shares .AXJO were

0.27% higher.

Markets in Japan were closed for a holiday.

The United States and China both said on Friday that they

had made progress in talks aimed at defusing their protracted

trade war, and U.S. officials said a deal could be signed this

month. But in a note to clients, analysts at National Australia

Bank sounded a note of caution.

"As much as the U.S.-China trade updates continue to point

to a Phase 1 deal looking like a certainty, the contentious

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issues on whether the U.S. will cancel the planned December

tariffs and remove some of the current tariffs in line with

China's demands remains an unknown and if the issue is not

resolved then a deal could easily collapse," they said.

In comments on Friday, White House economic adviser Larry

Kudlow said tariffs set to kick in on Dec. 15, which would cover

Chinese imports such as laptops, toys and electronics, would

remain on the table, and the decision whether to cancel them

would be made by U.S. President Donald Trump.

Any lingering uncertainty over the outlook for trade talks

was not enough to keep the S&P 500 .SPX from gaining 0.97% and

the Nasdaq rising 1.13% to fresh record closing highs on Friday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 1.11%.

On Monday, U.S. S&P 500 e-mini stock futures ESc1 were up

0.2% at 3,067.8.

U.S. job growth slowed less than expected in October and

hiring in the prior two months was stronger than previously

estimated, data from the Labor Department showed on Friday.

Those numbers followed a private survey of manufacturers in

China that showed better-than-expected factory activity in

October. Rob Carnell, Asia-Pacific chief economist at ING in

Singapore, said some market optimism was "probably justified" in

the wake of the positive data.

"Everybody had been looking for a much worse number and it

didn't materialise, so some bounce from that was entirely

plausible and reasonable."

But he added that continued uncertainty over trade talks and

less room for monetary easing by global central banks made for a

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murky outlook.

"It's difficult to see why you wouldn't be at least

thinking, there is a 'good profit-taking opportunity right now'

and positioning for a slightly worse outcome," he said.

While cash treasuries were not trading due to the Japanese

market holiday, U.S. 10-year Treasury futures TYc1 were down

0.11% amid the broadly bullish market mood.

The implied yield on the 10-year Treasury futures contract

expiring in December TYZ9 was 1.65%.

Oil prices, which had surged on hopes for a U.S.-China trade

deal, pulled back on Monday. Global benchmark Brent crude

LCOc1 was off 0.57% at $61.34 per barrel and U.S. West Texas

Intermediate crude CLc1 was 0.55% lower at $55.89.

In the currency market, the dollar was up 0.06% against the

yen at 108.23 JPY= , and the euro was up 0.02% to buy $1.1167.

The dollar index .DXY , which tracks the greenback against

a basket of six major rivals, was down 0.02% at 97.222.

Those small moves contrasted with a 1.42% jump in the South

African rand ZAR= against the dollar. The currency rallied on

relief that Moody's maintained South Africa's investment-grade

rating on Friday, though the agency cut its outlook on the

rating to "negative". China's yuan also strengthened, with the positive market

tone around trade talks helping it to rise to a 2-1/2 month high

against the dollar. It was last up 0.15% at 7.0267 per dollar.

Gold was slightly lower as investors moved into riskier

assets. Spot gold XAU= was trading at $1,511.52 per ounce,

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down 0.13%. GOL/

China's yuan strengthens https://tmsnrt.rs/2qitOPn

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