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GLOBAL MARKETS-Caution grips Asian shares before Fed minutes, seminar

Published 21/08/2019, 04:12
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Caution grips Asian shares before Fed minutes, seminar
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* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* MSCI ex-Japan near flat; Nikkei falls 0.4%

* U.S. President Trump says he had to 'take China on'

* Eyes on Fed minutes, Jackson Hole meeting for rate outlook

By Swati Pandey and Wayne Cole

SYDNEY, Aug 21 (Reuters) - Asian shares flatlined on

Wednesday as worries about global recession and endless trade

wars vied with hopes for a lot more monetary and fiscal stimulus

to keep growth going.

Much depends on what the Federal Reserve does with U.S.

interest rates, making markets hyper-sensitive to the minutes -

due later on Wednesday - of its last meeting.

Traders are also awaiting the central bank's annual Jackson

Hole seminar later this week and a Group of Seven summit this

weekend for clues on what additional steps policymakers will

take to boost economic growth.

Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) economist Ellen Zentner advised clients to

watch for the use of the word "somewhat" when Fed Chair Powell

describes further policy adjustments.

"Acknowledgment that downside risks have increased with no

characterisation of 'somewhat' could be taken as confirmation

that it is likely the Fed makes a larger cut in September,"

Zentner wrote in a note.

Futures 0#FF: are fully priced for a quarter-point cut in

rates next month, and over 100 basis points of easing by the end

of next year. FEDWATCH

With so much riding on the Fed, investors were

understandably cautious. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific

shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS dithered either side of

flat after three straight days of gains.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 slipped 0.4%, while Shanghai blue

chips .CSI300 lost -0.1%. Faring a bit better were E-Mini

futures for the S&P 500 ESc1 , which added 0.25%, while

EUROSTOXX 50 futures STXEc1 edged up 0.1%.

President Donald Trump showed no signs of backing down in

his tussle with China, declaring on Tuesday a confrontation was

necessary even if it caused short-term harm to the U.S. economy.

His strongly-worded remarks came hours before his government

announced approval of an $8 billion sale of Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT)

LMT.N F-16 fighter jets to Taiwan, a move sure to draw

Beijing's ire and further dim prospects for a quick trade deal.

Political turmoil in Hong Kong, Britain and Italy has also

heightened uncertainties for investors. The prospect of new

elections in Italy after the resignation of Prime Minister

Giuseppe Conte added to jitters, sending Italian sovereign bond

yields sliding. STIMULUS

Alarm bells started ringing last week when yields on U.S.

10-year notes fell below two-year yields for the first time

since 2007, an inversion that has presaged previous recessions

and is widely watched by markets.

That was enough to prompt Trump and his advisers to examine

ways to provide a fiscal boost to the U.S. economy, should it be

deemed necessary. In addition, the central banks of the euro zone, Australia

and China are all expected open the monetary spigot further

this year, while Germany is considering fiscal stimulus.

Those prospects have driven yields lower. Benchmark U.S.

10-year Treasury yields US10YT=RR stood at 1.57% on Wednesday

from a high of 1.625% on Monday.

Currency markets have been mostly subdued ahead of the

Jackson Hole meeting and Fed minutes. The dollar was a shade

firmer on the yen at 106.48 JPY= after losing 0.4% on Tuesday,

while sterling GBP=D3 was last trading at $1.2170.

The euro EUR= trod water near Tuesday's high of $1.1101.

The dollar index .DXY was on the defensive at 98.178 as it

drifted away from a three-week top touched on Monday.

In commodities markets, U.S. crude CLc1 firmed 17 cents to

$56.26 per barrel while Brent LCOc1 added 23 cents to $60.26.

Spot gold XAU= was a shade weaker at $1,503.88 an ounce.

Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

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(Editing by Sam Holmes and Richard Borsuk)

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