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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares slip, long for clarity on Fed policy

Published 22/08/2019, 08:32
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares slip, long for clarity on Fed policy
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* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Asia subdued, strong retail earnings lift Wall St

* Fed minutes show division on rate cuts

* Trump says no longer looking at tax cuts

* PMI surveys, ECB minutes due Thursday

By Wayne Cole and Swati Pandey

SYDNEY, Aug 22 (Reuters) - Asian shares drifted off on

Thursday as uncertainty over the outlook for both U.S. interest

rates and the chance of global fiscal stimulus sucked the life

out of markets.

Not helping was a fresh slide in the Chinese yuan to an

11-year low CNY=CFXS , which dealers said prompted defensive

buying from state-owned banks. In early European trades, the pan-region Euro Stoxx 50

futures STXEc1 slipped 0.2% as did London's FTSE futures

FFIc1 . Germany's DAX futures FDXc1 eased 0.3% while France's

CAC 40 futures FCEc1 were off about 0.4%.

The S&P 500 e-minis ESc1 were down 0.16%.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS fell 0.5% in light volumes.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 ended a touch higher while Shanghai

blue chips .CSI300 climbed 0.3%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index

.HSI was among the biggest losers, down more than 1% as unrest

in the Chinese-ruled territory disrupt business and investment.

Investor focus is next on a range of manufacturing surveys

from across the globe later in the day and risks are they will

show a further slowdown in activity, especially in Europe.

"These will be the first major economic releases for August

and will be closely watched, especially given the focus on

growth and the global collapse in yields," analysts at JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM)

said in a note.

Japan's flash PMI showed factories and exports remained

subdued in July, though service activity expanded at the fastest

pace in almost two years. Overnight, minutes of the Federal Reserve's July meeting

showed policymakers were deeply divided over whether to cut

interest rates, but united in wanting to signal they were not on

a preset path to more easing. Indeed, while a "couple" of Fed members favoured a deeper

cut of half a point, "several" favoured no change at all.

That reluctance did not seem to gel with the market's

aggressive pricing for more than 100 basis points of easing by

the end of 2020. FEDWATCH

Treasuries were sold in response and two-year yields

US2YT=RR were left at 1.558%, compared with last week's low of

1.467%. US/

"The key message from the Fed minutes is that the 25

basis-point cut in July was just a calibration, a mid cycle

adjustment and not the start of a new easing cycle," said

Rodrigo Catril, a senior FX strategist at National Australia

Bank.

Hopes for U.S. fiscal stimulus also got a knock when

President Donald Trump reversed course and said he was not

looking at cutting payroll taxes. POWELL

Much now depends on how dovish Fed Chair Jerome Powell

chooses to be in his Jackson Hole speech on Friday.

"The most sensitive comments will revolve around whether

Powell is willing to reaffirm a view that the easing cycle is a

'mid-cycle adjustment' or align more closely to market

thinking," said Alan Ruskin, macro strategist at Deutsche Bank (DE:DBKGn).

"If he sticks to the old language as is most likely, it

would affirm that he is still confident that the strength of

consumption, in combination with modest Fed easing, will be

sufficient to keep the recovery broadly on track."

That would be more hawkish than expected and would likely

lift the dollar further, he said.

The dollar had already bounced overnight, and was last at

98.311 against a basket of currencies .DXY from a low of

97.948. It also reached 106.60 yen JPY= from Wednesday's

trough of 106.21.

The euro edged back to $1.1091 EUR= from a top of $1.1107,

not helped by a gloomy economic outlook from Germany's finance

ministry. The European Central Bank will release minutes of its last

policy meeting on Thursday and markets are looking for more

detail on exactly when and how aggressively it might ease

policy.

In commodity markets, spot gold drifted off to $1,498.6

XAU= from a recent high of $1,534.3.

Brent crude LCOc1 futures eased 12 cents to $60.18, while

U.S. crude CLc1 fell 3 cents to $55.65 a barrel.

Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

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(Editing by Richard Borsuk & Shri Navaratnam)

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