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WEEKAHEAD-AFRICA-FX-Zambia, Uganda currencies seen softening, Kenya’s to firm

Published 27/02/2020, 15:07
© Reuters.  WEEKAHEAD-AFRICA-FX-Zambia, Uganda currencies seen softening, Kenya’s to firm
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LUSAKA, Feb 27 (Reuters) - Zambia's and Uganda's currencies

are expected to fall next week, while Kenya's is expected to

rise, traders say.

ZAMBIA

The kwacha ZMW= is likely to come under pressure in the

coming week, weighed down by the country's debt service

obligations.

On Thursday, commercial banks quoted the currency of Africa's

second-largest copper producer down at 14.9 per dollar from a

close of 14.556 a week ago.

"The economic fundamentals, particularly the debt position,

suggest a weakening currency," independent financial analyst

Maambo Hamaundu said.

UGANDA

The Uganda shilling UGX= is seen trading with a weakening

bias on the back of elevated demand from foreign-owned firms

looking to pay last year's dividends.

At 1029 GMT, commercial banks quoted the shilling at

3,695/3,705, compared to last Thursday's close of 3,670/3,680.

“The dividends payment season should be getting underway next

month which will push demand up," a trader at a leading

commercial bank said, referring to demand for hard currency.

He said the shilling will likely weaken past the key

psychological level of 3,700 as dividend-driven demand picks up.

KENYA

The Kenyan shilling KES= could strengthen in the coming

week due to easing month-end dollar demand from merchant

importers amid inflows from horticulture exports, traders said.

At 1020 GMT, commercial banks quoted the shilling at

100.85/101.05 per dollar, compared with 101.00/20 at last

Thursday's close.

"The new month should be more stable... horticulture flows

could come in to support a slight strengthening of the

shilling," said a senior trader from one commercial bank.

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TANZANIA

Tanzania's shilling TZS= is expected to hold steady next

week due to the slowing demand for dollars from importers whose

trade activities have been hurt by the coronavirus outbreak.

Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 2,304/2,309 on

Thursday, up from the 2,310/2,315 recorded a week earlier.

"The shilling will remain stable next week because it will be

the beginning of the month where activities always slow down

slightly and also coronavirus has slowed importation thereby

reducing the demand of dollars," a trader in one of the

commercial banks in Dar es Salaam said.

NIGERIA

Nigeria's naira NGN= is seen unchanged next week as

liquidity shortages in the currency market persist after lower

yields on the debt market keep foreign investors on the

sidelines, traders said.

The currency was quoted weaker at around of 364.75 naira to

365 naira per dollar on Thursday on the over-the-counter market,

the same level it traded last week.

The central bank has been helping to meet some dollar

demand, keeping the naira stable on the official market at

306.45.

Traders said importers preferred to wait to fill their order

for the U.S. dollar rather than weakening the naira since

foreign inflows have dried up amidst dwindling government

reserves and lower oil prices.

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