Get 40% Off
💰 Buffett reveals a $6.7B stake in Chubb. Copy the full portfolio for FREE with InvestingPro’s Stock Ideas toolCopy Portfolios

FOREX-Yen rises as resurgent gloom drives bets to safe harbours

Published 29/08/2019, 06:13
© Reuters.  FOREX-Yen rises as resurgent gloom drives bets to safe harbours
USD/JPY
-
NZD/USD
-
XAU/USD
-
USD/CNY
-
GC
-
DE10YT=RR
-
US30YT=X
-
DXY
-
USD/CNH
-

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Yen, bonds and gold edge higher

* Gloom descends on FX market

* Markets on edge over trade war, Brexit

By Stanley White and Tom Westbrook

TOKYO/SINGAPORE, Aug 29 (Reuters) - A risk-off mood

bolstered the safe-haven yen on Thursday, with record lows on

U.S 30-year Treasury yields holding back the dollar as investors

turned bleak on the prospect of a trade-war breakthrough any

time soon.

The yen firmed 0.3% by lunchtime in Asian trade to as high

as 105.91 per dollar JPY= , after the cautious optimism seen in

currency markets in the morning gave way to gloom.

The Japanese currency also gained against the Australian

dollar AUD=D3 and New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 , which hit a

four-year low as business sentiment weakened.

The sterling was flat, nursing losses incurred on Wednesday

when fears of a no-deal Brexit surged in response to British

Prime Minister Boris Johnson's move to suspend parliament in a

bid to limit debate ahead of the Oct. 31 Brexit deadline.

"It's very difficult to take on any kind of major risk in

this environment," said Chris Weston, head of research at forex

brokerage Pepperstone Group, pointing to the inverted yield

curve as an indicator of sentiment.

"We've got a pretty clear idea of what our two big circuit

breakers are - those being a genuine feel towards the Xi-Trump

relations and the other one is the Fed getting ahead of the

curve," he said on the phone from Melbourne.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

"We just don't think any of those are going to be triggered

any time soon...we've just been advocating just staying in those

core, defensive FX positions for the moment."

China's onshore spot yuan CNY=CFXS eased slightly, to be

weaker for an 11th straight session, although a

firmer-than-expected central bank fixing helped stem deeper

losses. Against a basket of currencies .DXY the dollar was

steady around 98.190.

Dominating investor concerns is the inverted U.S. Treasury

yield curve, in which long-dated yields are lower that

short-dated ones, commonly considered a sign of future

recession.

Sentiment in the currency market is also likely to be

weighed by the Sino-U.S. trade dispute, which remains far from

unresolved.

The latest round of tit-for-tat trade-war tariff hikes takes

effect on Sunday, with Washington set to levy an extra 5% tariff

- announced by President Donald Trump on Twitter last week - on

$300 billion in Chinese imports.

Retailers across the U.S. warned on Wednesday of price hikes

and braced for job losses as a result, while on Thursday Korea

outlined its most aggressive spending plan in a decade to

buttress its weakening economy. Yields on 30-year Treasuries US30YT=RR and 10-year German

bunds DE10YT=TWEB both hit a record low as investors scrambled

for the safety of government debt.

"The biggest market impact of these new threats is the

uncertainty," Hannah Anderson, Global Market Strategist at J.P.

Morgan Asset Management said by email.

"This uncertainty is having the most damaging effect on

markets; it constrains investment, slows growth, elevates

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

volatility, and darkens the outlook for investors of all

stripes."

The latest gloomy omen came from New Zealand, where ANZ

Bank's closely-watched survey of business sentiment showed

deepening weakness in both activity and confidence. That

suggests aggressive cuts in interest rates are yet to gain any

traction.

The kiwi NZD=D3 was off 0.3% at $0.6318, after touching

its lowest since September 2015 at $0.6311. The pound held steady at $1.2202 GBP=D3 on Thursday and

was last quoted at 90.82 pence per euro EURGBP=D3 .

The Chinese yuan was close to lows not seen since the global

financial crisis, trading onshore CNY= at 7.1663 per dollar

and offshore CNH= a little weaker at 7.1728 per dollar at 0400

GMT. The yen hit a session high of 105.91 by 0402 GMT. Spot gold

XAU= rose 0.2% to $1,542.00 per ounce, after hitting a

six-year high on Monday.

The yen and gold are both considered safe-haven assets.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.