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FOREX-Trade talk plans cheer risk currencies, hit safe-haven yen

Published 05/09/2019, 04:21
Updated 05/09/2019, 04:30
© Reuters.  FOREX-Trade talk plans cheer risk currencies, hit safe-haven yen
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* Trade-exposed currencies jump on U.S.-China trade talks

* Yen sold as risk-on mood returns

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Sept 5 (Reuters) - Risk-sensitive currencies such

as the Aussie and yuan rallied on Thursday as investors cheered

the announcement of U.S.-China trade talks for next month and

abandoned safe haven assets such as yen.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars, AUD=D3 NZD=D3

Chinese yuan CNY= and South Korean won KRW= all jumped

against the dollar, while the yen JPY=EBS fell nearly 0.4% to

106.75 per dollar, its cheapest in more than three weeks.

The early-October talks will be held in Washington, China's

commerce ministry announced, following a phone call between

China's Vice Premier Liu He, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven

Mnuchin and U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer.

The news followed optimism that a no-deal Brexit could be

avoided, which sent the pound GBP=D3 sharply higher, and a

potential breakthrough for the Hong Kong political crisis.

Those political developments, seen as positive for

investment, also fueled a jump in Asian equities and bond

yields. "We've seen markets hold up relatively well overnight, this

(trade) news has injected a fair amount of optimism in markets,"

said Prashant Newnaha, senior rates strategist at TD Securities

in Singapore.

"It does seem that the markets were positioning more

bearishly, and now we've gotten this potential good news and the

markets are running with it," he said, adding global economic

indicators had also recently been showing some green shoots.

The Australian dollar rose to a one-month high of $0.6825,

seen as a technical resistance level while the New Zealand

dollar hit a one-week peak of $0.6377. The trade-exposed won

climbed the most of Asia's currencies to 1198.00 per dollar.

Against a basket of currencies, the dollar .DXY lifted a

little from a one-week low to 98.492.

The Canadian dollar CAD= spiked sharply to C$1.3344 per

dollar after the Bank of Canada left interest rates on hold and

sounded less dovish than the market had expected.

The pound sat around $1.2245 and euro EUR=EBS at $1.1030,

holding overnight gains.

They had climbed after British parliament voted on Wednesday

to prevent Johnson from taking Britain out of the European Union

without a deal on Oct. 31, but rejected his first bid to call a

snap election two weeks before the scheduled exit. That still leaves Brexit up in the air, with possible

outcomes ranging from a no-deal exit to abandoning the whole

endeavour, prompting some to sound a note of caution.

"It's important to keep in mind that the situation continues

to look pretty bad," J.P. Morgan analysts reminded investors in

a market note, pointing out that Johnson, a staunch Brexiteer,

leads opinion polls.

Nevertheless, the fact that a hard Brexit has, for now, been

removed as an immediate risk gave markets some cheer, as did

Hong Kong leader Carrie Lam's move to withdraw the bill that

triggered months of violent protests in the city. "While there is no 'all clear' on market concerns, investor

sentiment pulled back from extremes...the deferral of a no-deal

Brexit, soothed nerves," said Michael McCarthy, chief market

strategist at brokerage CMC Markets in Sydney.

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