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FOREX-Dollar slumps as bears shrug off U.S. stimulus delay

Published 30/12/2020, 04:20
© Reuters.
USD/KRW
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USD/MYR
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DX
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
* Stimulus doubts give dollar brief reprieve
* Many analysts calling for long-term dollar decline
* Year-end mood likely to keep markets subdued

By Stanley White
TOKYO, Dec 30 (Reuters) - The dollar slumped to multi-year
lows against many currencies on Wednesday as currency traders
looked past a new delay in U.S. stimulus cheques and maintained
bets additional financial aid was still likely.
The greenback hit its weakest level in more than two years
against the euro, the Australian and the New Zealand dollars.
The greenback also crashed to the lowest in more than five years
against the Swiss franc and fell broadly against Asian
currencies.
U.S. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell on Tuesday
blocked immediate consideration of a measure to increase
COVID-19 relief payments to $2,000, adding another twist to
fractious negotiations over fiscal stimulus. The dollar has fallen steadily since U.S. President Donald
Trump signed a coronavirus aid and spending bill on Sunday,
because more stimulus for the world's largest economy reduces
demand for the perceived safety of holding the greenback.
While the size of relief payments is still uncertain, many
analysts say the dollar is likely to resume falling next year
because President-elect Joe Biden is expected to push for even
more economic support measures.
"Our weak dollar call remains intact as we move into 2021,"
analysts at BBH wrote in a research memo.
"What happens to the greenback ... largely depends on how
well the United States controls the virus in 2021 as well as the
outlook for further fiscal stimulus."
The dollar fell to $1.2295 per euro EUR=EBS on Wednesday
in Asia, its weakest since April 2018.
The British pound GBP=D3 rose to $1.3543.
Against the Swiss franc CHF=EBS , the dollar touched
0.8819, the weakest since January 2015.
The dollar fell to 103.27 yen JPY=D3 .
Low liquidity may have exaggerated some market moves with
many investors away for year-end holidays.
A light data calendar in Asia is also likely to leave
traders with little incentive to take out big positions.
The dollar index =USD against a basket of six major
currencies stood at 89.759, not far from the lowest in more than
two years.
Last-minute infighting has cast doubt on some of the details
of the U.S. aid package, but many analysts say the U.S.
government will keep rolling out fiscal stimulus in some form
because a second wave of coronavirus infections is becoming a
big threat to the economy.
In addition, many investors are already looking ahead to a
new government under Biden when he is sworn in on Jan. 20.
Another negative factor for the greenback is expectations
that the U.S. Federal Reserve will keep interest rates low for
an extremely long time, many analysts say.
Elsewhere, both the Australian dollar AUD=D3 and the New
Zealand dollar NZD=D3 reached their strongest levels in 2
1/2-years. The currencies are considered barometers of risk
appetite because of their ties to global commodities.
The onshore yuan CNY=CFXS edged up to 6.5227 per dollar.
The Korean won KRW= and the Malaysian ringgit MYR= also rose
amid broad-based dollar selling.

========================================================
========================================================
Currency bid prices at 12:02PM (0302 GMT)
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Euro/Dollar EUR=EBS $1.2287 $1.2251 +0.29% +9.60% +1.2295 +1.2250
Dollar/Yen JPY=D3 103.2750 103.4850 -0.17% -4.89% +103.5800 +103.2950
Euro/Yen EURJPY= 126.89 126.86 +0.02% +4.05% +127.1300 +126.8600
Dollar/Swiss CHF=EBS 0.8827 0.8841 -0.15% -8.77% +0.8842 +0.8820
Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3 1.3543 1.3502 +0.32% +2.13% +1.3544 +1.3495
Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3 1.2796 1.2814 -0.13% -1.49% +1.2827 +1.2797
Aussie/Dollar AUD=D3 0.7641 0.7606 +0.47% +8.91% +0.7642 +0.7604
NZ NZD=D3 0.7171 0.7148 +0.35% +6.60% +0.7176 +0.7148
Dollar/Dollar


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