Investing.com | Mar 18, 2025 14:42
Recessionary winds have returned to the United States in recent weeks. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent himself has warned that the U.S. economy may not escape it. Caution is advised in such cases, so it's best to take him at his word and prepare for a potential downturn in the world’s leading economy.
When markets begin to wobble, some companies still manage to maintain soundness and profitability. So, which stocks are best positioned to handle a period of uncertainty? There are certain characteristics and sectors that tend to outperform during economic downturns.
Among the main characteristics we need to monitor to identify defensive stocks are:
As for sectors, it's best to focus on:
To identify the best stocks to buy ahead of a recession, one can rely on professional tools, such as InvestingPro's Advanced Stock Screener , which filters stocks based on selected parameters.
Or, since we live in the age of Artificial Intelligence, we can also ask AI directly which stocks are the best to bet on during a recession.
This is made possible by InvestingPro's latest tool, WarrenAI , the virtual financial assistant that answers all market-related questions by synthesizing a flood of data into a simple answer.
So, let’s say we want to know what the best 4 recession-proof U.S. stocks are, with:
Just ask WarrenAI, and the answers come...
A few seconds of processing and here is the result:
The top 4 anti-recession stocks according to AI are:
But it doesn’t stop there. WarrenAI also explains why these stocks were chosen. So, let’s dive into the details.
The pharmaceutical sector is one of the most robust during tough economic times, and Pfizer is one of the best options for those looking for a defensive stock. With a beta of 0.54, it is less volatile than the market, and its dividend yield of 6.6% offers an attractive return for investors. Additionally, average revenue growth (+9.2% annually) shows the company's ability to expand even in challenging environments.
Insurance companies have one key characteristic: customers continue to pay insurance premiums even in times of crisis. CNA Financial combines a very high dividend yield (7.8%) with sustainable revenue growth (+5.8% annually). With a beta of 0.68, the stock is less susceptible to market fluctuations, making it a solid defensive choice.
Companies that provide essential services such as electricity and gas tend to perform well even in severe recessions. Edison International, a leader in the utility sector, offers a dividend yield of 5.6% and solid revenue growth (+7.3% annually). Although it has a slightly higher beta than the other stocks on this list (0.88), it remains a stable option with less sensitivity to market fluctuations.
Amcor is one of the leading global companies in packaging and packaging materials manufacturing, a business that remains critical regardless of economic conditions. The company combines a dividend yield of 5.2% with steady revenue growth (+7.6% annually), maintaining stable demand for its products even in weaker economic cycles.
In short, what do these four stocks have in common according to WarrenAI?
In addition, WarrenAI helped us diversify away from being too exposed to one sector.
Defensive stocks can also be affected by a recession, but historically, they tend to hold up better than the market as a whole. Therefore, building a balanced portfolio, after assessing one's risk profile and conducting thorough research, containing solid companies and reliable dividends, can be a good strategy for dealing with an uncertain period.
Easier said than done? Certainly, but today, at least, we have one more ally.
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