3 Leading Stocks Best Suited For Rising Interest Rates, Hawkish Fed
Jesse Cohen | Sep 21, 2022 12:03
- Fed concludes highly anticipated September policy meeting today
- Markets expecting another 75bps rate hike
- Consider Bank of America, Charles Schwab and Dell Technologies
- Year-To-Date Performance: -23.2%
- Market Cap: $274.5 Billion
- Year-To-Date Performance: -12.8%
- Market Cap: $138.1 Billion
- Year-To-Date Performance: -34.2%
- Market Cap: $27.1 Billion
The U.S. central bank has already raised its benchmark interest rate by 225 bp this year as it fights to bring inflation back under control and a further hike is likely today.
The Fed will also continue to shrink its massive $8.8 trillion balance sheet, adding to policy tightening against a market backdrop that is much more volatile now than the last time the Fed reduced its bond portfolio.
Taking that into consideration, I expect the three companies to outperform in the weeks and months ahead.
h2 Bank of America/h2Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) is well positioned to benefit from the Fed’s aggressive rate hike while capitalizing on the strong surge in Treasury yields. Lenders tend to boost the return that they earn from their loan products, or net interest margin as rates increase.
In fact, the Charlotte, North Carolina-based financial services company noted in its second quarter earnings report in July that it expects net interest income to improve by between $900 million and $1 billion during the third quarter. And management believes it could grow even faster in the fourth quarter.
Additionally, the banking giant’s ongoing commitment to returning capital to its shareholders through stock buybacks and dividend payments further enhances its investment appeal.
Not surprisingly, Bank of America’s stock remains a favorite on Wall Street, with 26 of 27 analyst ratings collected by Investing.com reflecting a bullish recommendation.
Even more promising, the average fair value on Investing Pro+ implies around 28% upside from current levels.
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BofA is the second biggest U.S. banking institution, behind JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM).
The bank, which posted mixed second-quarter results, is forecast to deliver third quarter numbers ahead of the U.S. market open on Monday, Oct. 17.
Consensus estimates call for earnings per share of $0.79, falling 7% from EPS of $0.85 in the same quarter a year earlier. Despite facing hurdles, revenue is forecast to rise 2.8% year-over-year to $23.4 billion.
h2 Charles Schwab/h2As one of the nation’s most interest-rate-sensitive financial institutions, Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) is in place to reap the benefits of the Fed’s hawkish monetary policy outlook, making it a solid option for long-term investors. According to a recent regulatory filing, a 100-basis-point increase in the Fed funds rate would boost the company’s net interest income by around 12% over the next 12 months.
The financial services firm, which purchased rival TD Ameritrade for $26 billion in 2020, provides banking, commercial banking, an electronic trading platform, and wealth management advisory services to both retail and institutional clients.
It had 34.0 million active brokerage accounts, 2.3 million corporate retirement plan participants, 1.7 million banking accounts, and $7.13 trillion in total client assets as of the end of August.
Despite a challenging backdrop, Schwab shares have held up better than the overall market, falling 12.8% year-to-date compared to the S&P 500’s 19.1% decline over the same timeframe.
Shares of the Westlake, Texas-based discount broker have run hot in recent weeks, gaining almost 24% since reaching a mid-June 52-week low of $59.35.
At current valuations, Schwab is the fifth-largest U.S. banking institution, ahead of Wall Street powerhouses such as Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), and Citigroup (NYSE:C).
Even with the recent upswing, most analysts remain generally bullish on Schwab’s stock, as per an Investing.com survey, which revealed that 12 out of 17 analysts covering the name rated it as a ‘buy’.
The average fair value for SCHW stock on InvestingPro+ stands at $93.12, a potential 26.9% upside from the current market value.
Schwab, which reported impressive second quarter profit, is scheduled to release Q3 results ahead of the opening bell on Monday, Oct. 17.
Consensus expectations call for EPS of $1.06 on revenue of $5.41 billion. If confirmed, that would mark a significant improvement from a year ago, when the firm earned $0.84 per share on sales of $4.57 billion.
h2 Dell Technologies/h2Dell Technologies (NYSE:DELL) is a major global provider of information technology solutions, best known for its wide variety of personal computer products. Given weak sentiment in the technology sector, the shares have endured some turbulence lately, hitting a series of fresh 52-week lows in recent sessions.
At current levels, shares are approximately 68% below their all-time peak of $115.00 touched in October 2021.
In my view, the sizable decline in Dell’s stock has created a compelling buying opportunity as its attractive valuation combined with its strong dividend and improving free cash flow have skewed the risk/reward to the upside. It offers an annualized yield of 3.49%, one of the highest in the sector.
In addition, Dell repurchased $608 million of stock in the quarter as management continues to aggressively buy back shares. According to the quantitative models in InvestingPro+, the stock could see an increase of a whopping 53.4% from current levels.
Dell reported earnings and sales that easily topped expectations in late August, setting a record for second-quarter revenue. Co-chief operating officer Jeff Clarke said that the company “continued to execute well in an increasingly challenging environment.” And CFO Tom Sweet added:
“We remain focused on delivering revenue and EPS growth with strong free cash flow to our shareholders over time.”
Dell ended the quarter with remaining performance obligations of $41 billion, up 2% year-over-year, deferred revenue of $28 billion, and cash and investments of $7.1 billion.
Cash-rich companies tend to earn more on their cash reserves as interest rates move higher.
Disclosure: At the time of writing, Jesse has no position in any stock mentioned. The views discussed in this article are solely the opinion of the author and should not be taken as investment advice.
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