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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks tumble, yen rallies as U.S. and China escalate trade war

Published 23/08/2019, 23:09
Updated 23/08/2019, 23:10
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks tumble, yen rallies as U.S. and China escalate trade war

* USD index weakens after Powell speech, Trump tweets

* Trump threatens further action on China

* U.S. crude posts weekly decline; Brent ekes a gain

* U.S. two-year/10-year yield curve inverts

(Updates after U.S. market close with new Trump tweets)

By Rodrigo Campos

NEW YORK, Aug 23 (Reuters) - Stocks, the dollar and oil

prices fell on Friday while safe havens rose after President

Donald Trump demanded U.S. companies look at alternatives to

China for manufacturing, following Beijing's retaliatory tariffs

on American goods.

China's Commerce Ministry said in a statement early on

Friday it would impose tariffs on about $75 billion in imports

from the United States including some agricultural products,

crude oil and small aircraft. Trump responded mid-morning in a series of tweets, writing

that "American companies are hereby ordered to immediately start

looking for an alternative to China." Trump cannot force U.S. companies to abandon China and he

gave no detail on how he might proceed with any such order. But

his series of tweets was seen as a harbinger for yet another

escalation of the trade war.

After markets closed in New York, Trump tweeted the United

States would raise tariffs on $250 billion worth of Chinese

imports to 30% from 25% beginning Oct. 1. "Additionally, the remaining 300 BILLION DOLLARS of goods

and products from China, that was being taxed from September 1st

at 10%, will now be taxed at 15%," he wrote.

The morning's tweets "certainly heightened concerns about

trade and its drag on global growth," said Craig Bishop, lead

strategist of the fixed income group at RBC Wealth Management at

Minneapolis.

"It has heightened chances of a recession. The President is

his own worst enemy when he tries to manage both fiscal and

monetary policies."

Stocks that benefit during economic expansions fell the most

on Wall Street, also hinting at recession concerns.

"There is a lot of worry here. I would say what (Trump) is

tweeting is disconcerting. It's a fair reaction from the

markets. I don't think anyone thought we'd get to this level,"

Michael O'Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading, said

during market hours.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI fell 623.34 points,

or 2.37%, to 25,628.9, the S&P 500 .SPX lost 75.84 points, or

2.59%, to 2,847.11 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC dropped

239.62 points, or 3%, to 7,751.77.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index .STOXX turned sharply

lower after Trump's tweets, dropping 1% in the last half hour of

trading to close down 0.78%, while MSCI's gauge of stocks across

the globe .MIWD00000PUS dropped 1.57%.

Emerging market stocks lost 0.20%, an index of Latin

American shares .MILA00000PUS dropped more than 3% to close at

its 2019 low and U.S. dollar-denominated Nikkei futures NKc1

fell 2.0%.

OIL, YIELDS FALL

Oil prices fell after China's retaliatory tariffs

announcement highlighted concern that the trade dispute between

the world's two largest economies could slow global growth or

even trigger a recession.

Trump's tweets made matters worse.

"We still view the U.S.-Chinese trade standoff as a major

bearish consideration that will likely be requiring additional

downward oil demand adjustments as this year proceeds," said Jim

Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch and Associates.

U.S. crude CLc1 fell 2.67% to $53.87 per barrel and Brent

LCOc1 was last at $59.11, down 1.35% on the day.

Trump's comments came after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome

Powell said the U.S. central bank will "act as appropriate" to

keep the economic expansion on track, but noted rising risks.

Powell's remarks had given markets some relief after the

overnight announcement from Beijing. Trump's tweeted response to

the speech asked who is "our bigger enemy" between Powell and

China's President Xi Jinping.

The two-year/10-year yield curve inverted last week for the

first time since 2007, a signal that a U.S. recession is likely

in one to two years. The curve has traded in and out of

inversion over the past three days.

U.S. Treasury yields fell, with 10-year notes US10YT=RR

last up 22/32 in price to yield 1.5351%, from 1.61% late on

Thursday.

The U.S. dollar fell after Powell's comments and dropped

further after Trump's tweets.

The dollar index .DXY fell 0.47%, with the euro EUR= up

0.53% to $1.1137.

The Japanese yen strengthened 0.95% versus the greenback at

105.45 per dollar, while sterling GBP= was last trading at

$1.228, up 0.24% on the day.

Spot gold XAU= added 1.8% to $1,525.37 an ounce.

Global assets in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2jvdmXl

Global currencies vs. dollar http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

Emerging markets in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2ihRugV

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