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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks and oil fall, yen rallies as Trump threatens to further escalate China trade war

Published 23/08/2019, 20:20
Updated 23/08/2019, 20:30
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks and oil fall, yen rallies as Trump threatens to further escalate China trade war

* USD index weakens after Powell speech, Trump tweets

* Trump threatens action on China later in the day

* U.S. crude on track for weekly decline

* U.S. two-year/10-year yield curve inverts

(Updates prices)

By Rodrigo Campos

NEW YORK, Aug 23 (Reuters) - Stocks and oil prices fell

sharply on Friday while traditional safe havens rose after U.S.

President Donald Trump threatened to further escalate his trade

war with China "this afternoon," following a new round of

retaliatory tariffs from Beijing.

Earlier on Friday China's Commerce Ministry said in a

statement it would impose tariffs on about $75 billion in

imports from the United States including some agricultural

products, crude oil and small aircraft. Trump responded mid-morning in a series of tweets, writing

that "American companies are hereby ordered to immediately start

looking for an alternative to China." Trump cannot force U.S. companies to abandon China and he

gave no detail on how he might proceed with any such order. But

his series of tweets was seen as a harbinger for even further

escalation of the trade war.

"Clearly when you look at U.S. yields and the dollar's

reaction, there are concerns that these latest comments from

Trump on China will push the U.S. into recession," said Marvin

Loh, senior global markets strategist at State Street (NYSE:STT).

Stocks that benefit during economic expansions fell the

most, also hinting at recession concerns.

"There is a lot of worry here. I would say what (Trump) is

tweeting is disconcerting. It's a fair reaction from the

markets. I don't think anyone thought we'd get to this level,"

said Michael O'Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI fell 547.71 points,

or 2.09%, to 25,704.53, the S&P 500 .SPX lost 65.23 points, or

2.23%, to 2,857.72 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC dropped

215.03 points, or 2.69%, to 7,776.36.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index .STOXX turned sharply

lower after Trump's tweets, dropping 1% in the last half hour of

trading to close down 0.78%, while MSCI's gauge of stocks across

the globe .MIWD00000PUS dropped 1.29%.

Emerging market stocks lost 0.48% and U.S.

dollar-denominated Nikkei futures NKc1 fell 1.8%.

OIL, YIELDS FALL

Oil prices fell after China's retaliatory tariffs

announcement highlighted concern the trade dispute between the

world's two largest economies could slow global growth or even

trigger a recession.

Trump's tweets made matters worse.

"We still view the U.S.-Chinese trade standoff as a major

bearish consideration that will likely be requiring additional

downward oil demand adjustments as this year proceeds," said Jim

Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch and Associates.

U.S. crude CLc1 fell 2.17% to $54.15 per barrel and Brent

LCOc1 was last at $59.33, down 0.98% on the day.

Trump's comments came after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome

Powell said the U.S. central bank will "act as appropriate" to

keep the economic expansion on track, but noted rising risks.

Powell's remarks had somewhat given markets relief after the

overnight announcement from Beijing. Trump's tweeted response to

the speech labeled Powell an "enemy."

The two-year/10-year yield curve inverted last week for the

first time since 2007, a signal that a U.S. recession is likely

in one to two years. The curve has traded in and out of

inversion over the past three days.

U.S. Treasury yields fell, with 10-year notes US10YT=RR

last up 25/32 in price to yield 1.5266%, from 1.61% late on

Thursday.

The two-year/10-year yield curve tripped to negative

territory early in the session and for a third consecutive day.

The U.S. dollar fell after Powell's comments and dropped

further after Trump's tweets.

The dollar index .DXY fell 0.54%, with the euro EUR= up

0.6% to $1.1145.

The Japanese yen strengthened 1.06% versus the greenback at

105.33 per dollar, while sterling GBP= was last trading at

$1.2286, up 0.29% on the day.

Spot gold XAU= added 2.0% to $1,528.05 an ounce.

Global assets in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2jvdmXl

Global currencies vs. dollar http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

Emerging markets in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2ihRugV

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