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FOREX-Dollar rises vs euro as European PMI data fails to impress

Published 24/01/2020, 16:35
Updated 24/01/2020, 16:36
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar rises vs euro as European PMI data fails to impress

* Euro zone economy remains weak but green shoots emerging

-PMIs

* Pound drops as rate cut remains possible despite better

(Recasts, updates rates, adds comments from after open of U.S.

market; new byline, dateline; previous LONDON)

By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed

NEW YORK, Jan 24 (Reuters) - The dollar rose to a near

eight-week high against the euro on Friday as lukewarm European

PMI data added to the broader market conviction that European

central bank policymakers will maintain a loose monetary policy

for the near future.

Euro zone business activity remained lackluster with the IHS

Markit's Euro Zone Composite Flash Purchasing Managers' Index

(PMI), seen as a good gauge of economic health, holding at 50.9

in January but missing the median prediction in a Reuters poll

for 51.2. That followed an earlier PMI from Germany, Europe's largest

economy, which showed the private sector gained momentum.

The euro was 0.21% lower against the greenback at $1.1029.

=EUR

"The move partly reflected a phase of broader euro weakness

following the release of the flash Eurozone January PMI data

showing a miss in the composite headline, at 50.9, despite a

firm German reading," Jonathan Coughtrey, managing director, at

Action Economics said in a note.

The survey data comes a day after the European Central Bank

did not make any policy change, standing by its pledge to keep

buying bonds and, if needed, cut interest rates until euro zone

inflation headed back to its goal.

Friday's data added to expectations that a rate hike is

ruled out for the rest of the year, with Nordea analysts

expecting a 10-basis-point increase only in the second quarter

of 2023.

Though there are no expectations for a rate hike from the

U.S. Federal Reserve as well for the rest of the year, the

160-basis-point plus interest rate differential in benchmark

interest rates between the euro zone and United States is

expected to drive the single currency lower.

The euro EUR=EBS is set for its worst start to the year in

five years, down 1.5% so far this month, and trading at its

lowest levels since Dec. 2.

The dollar erased gains against the Japanese yen to trade

down 0.15% after the release of January services and

manufacturing PMIs from Markit showed the U.S. manufacturing

sector continuing to face pressure. Demand for the safe-haven Japanese yen, remained muted even

as China shut a part of the Great Wall and suspended public

transport in 10 cities in a bid to contain a virus that has

killed 26 people and infected more than 800. Sterling retreated on Friday, after initially strengthening,

as some investors still expected an interest rate cut next week

even though business surveys pointed to a post-election bounce

in the UK economy. The pound was 0.3% lower against the

greenback. GBP=

Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

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