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FOREX-Dollar climbs vs euro, yen on prospect of less dovish Fed

Published 23/08/2019, 14:32
Updated 23/08/2019, 14:40
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar climbs vs euro, yen on prospect of less dovish Fed

© Reuters. FOREX-Dollar climbs vs euro, yen on prospect of less dovish Fed

* Fed's Mester, Kaplan comment on easing cycle

* September rate cut fully priced in

* After a brief rally on Thursday, euro on back foot again

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Recasts, updates prices, market activity, adds Fed officials comments, FX table; changes byline, new

dateline; previous LONDON)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, Aug 23 (Reuters) - The dollar rose to a three-week high against the euro and a one-week peak

versus the yen on Friday ahead of a speech from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, with investors

expecting him to express some reluctance to embark on a long rate-cut cycle after a chorus of Fed

officials voiced a similar sentiment.

Powell will address the Jackson Hole symposium of central bankers at 1400 GMT on Friday, and traders

are waiting to see how closely he allies himself with the hawks within the Fed.

Currency markets have in recent months been driven by a shift at global central banks to looser

monetary policy as economic demand slows and trade disputes intensify.

Expectations that the Fed will cut rates at its next meeting in September have been fully priced into

interest rate futures, but the currency market is likely to react if Powell's comments do not match the

dovish expectations. Money markets price in at least two rate cuts of 25 basis points this year.

"We think it is far more likely that Powell remains non-committal and disappoints those looking for

shock and awe policy next month," said Mazen Issa, senior FX strategist, at TD Securities.

In early morning trading, the euro was down 0.2% at $1.1061 EUR= , after touching a three-week low of

$1.1052, as the dollar gained and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields rose to a one-week high of 1.663%

US10YT=RR . An index that tracks the dollar against six major currencies .DXY was up 0.2% at 98.325.

The dollar was also up 0.1% versus the yen at 106.52 JPY= , after hitting a one-week high of 106.73.

Fed officials kept preaching patience when it comes to easing. Cleveland Federal Reserve President

Loretta Mester, who did not support the rate cut last month, told CNBC that if the economy continues to

perform the way it has, the U.S. central bank "should keep things the way they are." Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan said he does not see July's easing as part of a rate-cutting

cycle. On Thursday, Kansas City Fed President Esther George and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker

said the Fed currently does not need to further stimulate the economy. China's offshore yuan stabilized at 7.0920 CNH=EBS after dropping to an 11-day low of 7.1072

overnight as the People's Bank of China lowered its official yuan midpoint to an 11-year low. The move was

limited even though the set rate was nowhere near the lows traders expected.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 9:16 AM (1316 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1065 $1.1078 -0.12% -3.52% +1.1085 +1.1052

Dollar/Yen JPY= 106.4500 106.4200 +0.03% -3.46% +106.7300 +106.3900

Euro/Yen EURJPY= 117.77 117.94 -0.14% -6.69% +118.1500 +117.7600

Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9841 0.9835 +0.06% +0.28% +0.9877 +0.9834

Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.2236 1.2250 -0.11% -4.08% +1.2265 +1.2196

Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3315 1.3302 +0.10% -2.36% +1.3338 +1.3292

Australian/Doll AUD= 0.6743 0.6756 -0.19% -4.34% +0.6764 +0.6737

Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0888 1.0896 -0.07% -3.25% +1.0928 +1.0890

Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.9040 0.9041 -0.01% +0.62% +0.9080 +0.9038

NZ NZD= 0.6376 0.6363 +0.20% -5.08% +0.6395 +0.6366

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway NOK= 9.0049 8.9776 +0.30% +4.24% +9.0137 +8.9726

Euro/Norway EURNOK= 9.9643 9.9449 +0.20% +0.59% +9.9744 +9.9335

Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.6928 9.6767 +0.02% +8.13% +9.6983 +9.6700

Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.7233 10.7215 +0.02% +4.47% +10.7280 +10.7049

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