Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Don Trumps His Pal, Boris

Published 13/12/2019, 10:11
Updated 05/03/2019, 13:15

It's been quite a 24 hours for the leaders of the US and UK and investors are certainly getting excited about what's to come next.

Boris Johnson's knockout performance in the UK election on Thursday has paved the way for the UK to leave the EU on 31 January and forge closer ties with its oldest ally. The victory exceeded expectations, with the polls having narrowed in the days leading up to the vote and Boris now has a strong mandate to leave next month and the numbers to do so.

The exit polls gave an immediate boost to the pound which had been rising in anticipation of a majority Conservative victory in the week or two before the election. The result reduces a huge cloud of uncertainty for the UK but there's still a long way to go, with the next phase widely being regarded as the more difficult. Still, it was a huge victory for Boris and the Conservatives and enables him to, in his words, get Brexit done.

It doesn't take a genius to guess which companies are flying this morning after that election result. Remove the threat of nationalization and investors quickly flock back to the BT's, Royal Mails and National Grids of the world. And there's plenty more. Investors in these companies will be breathing a huge sigh of relief this morning.

Trump steals Boris' thunder

Not to be outdone, Trump looks poised to sign a phase one trade agreement with China ahead of the tariff deadline this Sunday. Reports suggest a deal will delay the imposition of tariffs and halve those on $360 billion that has already been imposed. That's a significant concession and suggests we're about to see a major de-escalation in the trade war.

While markets are trading higher on the back of these reports, there is an element of caution about the moves we've seen so far. Investors have been too eager before to buy into a trade deal and maybe a little reluctant to be so again but should this get over the line, this year's Santa rally may really take off.

Gold turns south as trade deal nears

Gold is enjoying a bit of a bounce this morning after coming under considerable pressure on the back of the trade deal reports. It had previously come close to $1,490 but now finds itself closer to $1,470 having dropped as low as $1,462. Despite the bullish pressures over the last week or so, gold continues to look vulnerable and, if a trade deal is signed, that isn't going to help it.

Oil buoyed by trade reports

Oil prices are understandably on the rise on reports of a trade deal between the world's two largest economies. Having gained so much already though over the last few months, it is struggling to scale new highs. It may get an extra lift if reports are confirmed to be true but we may see a little "buy the rumour, sell the fact" action, especially if momentum indicators don't support any rally.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.